EVA: Business Risk Hidden in Spate of New Capacity
Year:2018 ISSUE:12
COLUMN:POLYMERS
Click:298    DateTime:Jun.22,2018


By Gao Jian, Beijing Yanshan Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Organic Chemical Plant,
Liu Lina, China National Economic and Technical Development Centre,
Yan Hao, Beijing Yanshan Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Organic Chemical Plant

Prominent advantage in downstream applications
Properties of EVA differ widely, due to differences in VA content. EVA can be processed into various products through injection molding, extrusion molding, blow molding, foaming, thermal molding, heat sealing and coating, so it has extensive applications.
   (1) EVA films
   Greenhouse films made of EVA exhibit great transparency, good heat tolerance and adequate impact resistance. They are also physiologically benign and very compatible with antioxidants, anti-dripping agents and antifogging agents. Moreover, EVA can be used in making packaging films, medical films, laminating films and casting films.
   (2) EVA foamed products
   EVA is usually used to make foamed materials with high power and independent bubbling. Among new heat-preserving materials, EVA foamed materials have gained extensive applications internationally. They are used mainly in making train carriages, buildings and buoyant apparatuses for ships. As EVA products are tender and have good elasticity and excellent shock absorbance and chemical resistance, they are extensively used in making soles for high-grade travel shoes and mountain-climbing shoes, as well as making sound insulating boards, gym mats, sealing devices and toys.
   (3) EVA for electric wires/cables
   EVA is also extensively used in electric wires/cables, where it has two major advantages: it can contain high amounts of fillers without becoming brittle, and it can easily be cross-linked. Typical applications include heat-shrinkable insulators, semiconductor shielding materials and flame-retardant insulation materials.
   (4) EVA for hot melt adhesives
   Mixing EVA with anchoring resins and wax can produce hot melt adhesives, which have good mechanical behavior and stability. Hot melt adhesives with EVA as a major ingredient can be used with no need of solvents, avoiding a common source of environmental pollution. They cure quickly and are suitable for use in high-speed automatic production lines. They are extensively used in wireless book binding, packaging, paper box sealing, furniture edge finishing, automobile/household electric appliance assembly, shoemaking and anticorrosive coatings for metal products.
Key demands depending on import
   Globally, the biggest use of EVA is film production. Seventy percent of all EVA is used to produce transparent films. Major products include packaging films, agricultural films, medical films and solar cell backplane films. Global demand for EVA will likely reach 3 650 kt in 2020, with average annual growth of 4.6% during 2015-2020.
   With constant completion of new units, China’s EVA self-sufficiency has increased year after year. The apparent consumption of EVA in China in 2017 was 1 472.6 kt, and self-sufficiency rose to 34.06%, up 3.89 percentage points YoY, but the supply is still seriously short. The main consumers of EVA in China are manufacturers of functional greenhouse films, packaging films, shoe materials, hot melt adhesives, electric wires/cables, toys and solar cell backplane films.
   Some key consumers still depend on import. For example, makers of functional greenhouse films have strict requirements on raw material EVA, 70% of such EVA is EF443 from Hanwha, and domestic products hold only a 1/3 share in that market. As EVA used in hot melt adhesives is not produced in China, all EVA needed in the hot melt adhesive sector is imported. The VA mass fraction in EVA used in the photovoltaic sector is required to be 30-33%, the demand is totally satisfied by import, there are considerable impacts from U.S. dollar conversion rates and the market gap keeps widening.
Burst of new capacity to be released in next few years

   China’s EVA capacity and output increased respectively to 972 kt/a and 500 kt in 2017, and operating rates averaged 75%. With economic impacts from home and abroad, and high prices for crude oil and ethylene, most EVA producers also produce LDPE, affecting operating rates for EVA. Table 1 shows the major EVA producers in China in 2017. 

Table 1   Major EVA producers in China, 2017

Producer

Capacity (kt/a)

Sinopec Beijing   Yanshan Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

200

BASF-YPC Co.,   Ltd.

200

Shandong Levima   Group Haoda Chemical Co., Ltd.

100

Beijing Huamei   Polymer Co., Ltd.

60

Sinopec Beijing   Donfang Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

4

Formosa   Plastics (Ningbo) Co., Ltd.

72

Jiangsu   Sailboat Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

300

Total

972


   Some enterprises in China, such as Shenzhen Funde Holding Group Co., Ltd. and Shenhua Group, plan to construct new EVA or LDPE/EVA units in the next few years. If these units are completed on schedule, China’s EVA capacity is expected to exceed 3 million t/a in 2020. Table 2 shows the EVA construction projects planned for China in the next few years.

Table 2  EVA unit construction in China planned for next few years

Company

Capacity (kt/a)

Planned start for   production

Quanzhou   Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

100

2020

Shanghai Petrochemical   Co., Ltd.

100

2019

Fujian Gulei   Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

300

2020

Shenzhen Funde   Holding Group Co., Ltd.

200

Not yet set

Yangzi   Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

100

2020

Shanghai Coking   Co., Ltd.

120

Not yet set

Formosa   Plastics (Ningbo) Co., Ltd.

128

Second-phase,   not yet set

Zhanjiang   Sinopec-Kuwait Refining and Chemical Co., Ltd.

200

2020

Shenhua Yulin   Energy & Chemical Co., Ltd.

300

2019

Jinzhou Jingang   Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

300

Not yet set

Zhejiang   Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

100

Second-phase,   not yet set

Shenhua Ningxia   Coal Industry Group Co., Ltd.

100

Not yet set

Jiangsu   Sailboat Petrochemical Co., Ltd.

300

Second-phase,   not yet set

Total

2 248



Win markets with large units and high-end, differentiated products
   The EVA sector in China still has some problems:
   Most EVA units also produce LDPE, and there are problems of low operating rate and narrow variety. Enterprises with an abundant raw material supply can therefore consider choosing advanced technologies in constructing EVA units with considerable scale, or upgrading technology to increase the scale of units and gain a price advantage.
   In terms of import/export structure, most EVA produced in China has low VA content, and high-end and specialty EVA varieties are mainly imported. EVA enterprises should introduce advanced technologies, produce high-performance and differentiated products and strengthen application development to meet the needs of different sectors.